Posts Tagged ‘vet economics’

Biting the Hand That Feeds Us – A commentary on pet insurance

Friday, April 30th, 2010

By Dave Nicol

a person with a choice to makeFor years there has been rumblings in the vet press about the often-uneasy relationship between vets and insurers. But, rather like the disruptive Icelandic volcano of late, the matter seems ready to erupt onto the mainstream of veterinary economics with dramatic implications for a lot of practices in the UK.

If the Marsh Report turned out to be a small issue that got a lot of press, this seems to be the opposite, a gargantuan issue that is getting little. Let’s be under no illusion as to the scale of the problem. If the insurance industry collapses (and it is sagging under a heavy burden), then not a practice in the UK will avoid the effects. And much of referral practice will dry up almost overnight.

What then are some of the problems and is there a solution that everyone can be happy with?

SWOT-ting the Problem

First a brief look at of the issues affecting pet insurance (these are my takes on things so feel free to add, criticise and develop the theme from your own perspective.)

Key Strength of Insurance

Pets and vets benefit when an animal in insured. This in not in dispute and a great many practice owners drive cars funded from the work generated by insured clients.

Key Weaknesses of Insurance

1. Animals currently on the insurance books are ageing and not being replaced with enough younger animals to maintain required margins. This is leading to increases in premiums, excesses and increases in claim ‘push back’ and payment time.

2. Old promises have been broken (remember “we pay in seven days”) and the relationship between insurers, vets and clients is increasingly strained.

Opportunities for Development

1. The market is not nearly penetrated to saturation point. So even in a shrinking market place it will be possible to find more new customers out there.

2. Uptake of other “well pet” products and services like vaccination, neutering, micro-chipping, and parasite control/diets is poor. Products capturing increased sales of these may have room for more manoeuver on premiums based on the fact that if a client buys a greater slice of the pie from their vet/insurer, they get a better deal.

3. There is much, much more business to be captured each day by vets. Not by increasing fees, but by improved uptake of existing or new products and services. Smart practices will be focusing on improving their sales technique. In fact I’d go further and say that if the last decade was about advancing clinical techniques, I believe the next will be about advancing sales skills.

Threats

1. Vet inflation – which came first pet insurance or vet inflation? One, I suspect, is strongly driving the other. Whatever, today’s pet owner now expects their pet to receive the same level of medical care they get themselves. The rate of medical inflation is at times terrifying and threatens not just pet insurance but healthcare systems globally. Can we sustainably afford the levels of healthcare and pet care we currently enjoy? Or are we living beyond our means?

2. Erosion of trust leads to lower market penetration as vets stop selling the products, in fact if things continue they might just do the opposite and actively campaign against it in the consult room.

3. Shrinking/aging pet population – we are all operating in a shrinking market where inevitably there will be a shift towards older pets not being replaced by younger ones. This places massive pressure on all insurance companies who rely on an increasing number of young animals to finance the payouts on older ones.

4. Economic meltdown looms. We might be out of recession but we are not out of trouble. The government has simply moved the problem from the banks (private sector) to the public sector. But with government debt levels at an all time high and tax receipts falling you can be sure that more financial pain is coming – most certainly in the form of higher taxes but quite possibly due to hyperinflation. Either way people will have less money to spend on perceived luxuries (satellite TV, holidays, pets and non-core insurance.)

Where Hence from Here?

two people working together to solve a problemThe status quo of ever-increasing fees and premiums coupled with decreasing and delayed payouts is a very destructive cycle that cannot go on forever.

If we are agreed that insurance has, by and large, been a good thing (and I support this view) then change has to come soon.

Selling more insurance to younger pets is about the only viable option for stabilising the base for all insurance companies. Problem is it won’t be easy to do. Market penetration seems to have crept along and is going nowhere fast. So increasing sales will mean doing something very different (in fact it almost means a paradigm shift).

Creating a policy and a route to market that reaches customers with a product they perceive to be valuable will be complicated and I think highly politicised. We know that vets don’t sell well but I believe real partnership still seems to be the best way forward.

Trust needs to be re-established. For me, one such sensible way forward is for an insurer to sit with an individual practice and help them work out a profitable fee structure and agree caps on certain operations (just as happens with medical insurance). It also means training the practices to sell the product effectively. In return insurers meet promises and payouts that are also negotiated and agreed.

For practices that might mean they can’t charge £3000 for a TPLO, so to make the required margin they are going to have to do more work, but how many practices are actually operating to capacity right now? How many practices are actually capturing all of the available business to them? A rough guess would be none. Not a single one. Improved sales techniques and better management of practice resources will go a long way to helping build sustainable future profits.

These solutions are not perfect or complete. Vets will always be vets and hate selling. Vet practices will always be small businesses with rough-round-the-edge policies and procedures. So politics and compliance issues will hinder efforts. But unless vets have a collective vision of a sustainable future without pet insurance we have to start somewhere.

There are some tough decisions on the road ahead for practices and insurers. It starts with an open and frank dialogue. I hope this piece adds something for others to think about. Please comment or email me your opinions. Better still start talking to your insurer and quite possibly the BVA.

Next Time on Dave’s Blog

Six Tips to Drive Your Practice into the Ground

New Year Party Pooper – Are We Heading for A Painful Comedown in 2010?

Tuesday, January 5th, 2010

broken financesIn any business plan there should be discussion of the wider environmental changes that could affect your business. Today we discuss the Global Financial Crisis, how it might affect you in 2010 and why you should be wary of anyone who says it’s over.

The crisis if you believe some commentators, has passed it’s worst. The UK is officially out of recession, so we hear. House prices are on the increase and there’s some good news from the mortgage market.

So was that it? Have we escaped the after effects of apparently the greatest piece of financial mismanagement the world has ever seen relatively unscathed? If you believe that dear reader then you’re probably still waiting for Santa Claus to squeeze down your chimney! Or you’ve got your head in a bucket of sand.

The Story in 2009

At the 2009 VPMA congress last year Dennis Turner, chief economist from HSBC bank delivered an uplifting and statistically pleasing overview of the economic situation. His prediction was that by the end of 2009 or start of 2010 things would start to improve. We all felt relieved.

So Far So Good?

Great, well here we are, officially the green shoots of recovery have punched through and all is looking rosy. Time to sit back safely knowing we rode out the worst of the crisis. But hold on, wasn’t it all just a bit easy?

Sure, some folks lost their jobs and repos on mortgages are up, but compared to what we were expecting from the “worst financial crisis in modern times”, (given what history tells us about the great depression) it wasn’t all that bad.

I mean no vets that I am aware of went bust (but then I don’t know what financial shape the recent acquisitions of CVS UK Ltd were in either). And I doubt if many of us have seen a significant decline in our standard of living?

What’s bothering me is that something just isn’t right with this picture. The facts before us don’t add up with what the economists predicted. Doesn’t it all just seem a little too easy? (I’m not being flippant here. I’m sure many practices have had a tough year).

Perhaps I’m just being pessimistic and am now guilty of doing what I was blasting others for 12 months ago – talking down the economy. The thing that has changed is that we are now in the midst of a full recession. It’s real and as far as I can see, nobody has done anything that would fundamentally improve things. In fact it might be the case that Messers Brown and Darling have done just the opposite.

A Layman’s View

I like things simple, so this is my possibly over simplified view issue.

Imagine you are mired in personal debt. The type of debt you just can’t ever hope to pay your way out of. You have an interest only mortgage worth five times the multiple of your earnings. Your house has lost value and you now owe more than your property is worth. Your credit cards are max-ed out and you’re running an overdraft. Things look pretty bad. Your outgoings outweigh your income by so much that you are unable to even service the interest payments on your debt.

There are few ways out of this situation:

1. You somehow fluke a miraculous increase in your earnings to be able to service your debt again. (Win lottery or become a drug dealer – both extremely unlikely).

2. You take your medicine for some bad decisions and declare yourself bankrupt. You lose everything and start the painful process of rebuilding from the ground up. But with a defunct credit rating you’re going to have to do this the old fashioned way. Pay for goods and services with money you’ve actually earned and saved for over the hard years that followed your glut of debt driven excess. (This option doesn’t win you votes or friends)

3. You borrow more in the vain attempt to service your existing debt, with even more debt – on ever worsening terms. In effect putting the pain off for another day, but allowing the size of the problem to get even bigger in the meantime. The higher you fly, the harder you’re ultimately going to fall.

In the global economy right now guess which is happening? Bingo, Number 3.
Central banks/governments around the planet have lowered interest rates to rock bottom so they can service national debts without putting up taxes and completely kill off their economies (and chances of gaining or retaining power).

In the UK things are even worse because our public debt has expanded from 49% of GDP to 60.2% of GDP* in the past 12 months!

The low interest rates also mean that people (that’s you and me) can service their own debts and keep spending money we don’t really have (hence propping up the frail old economy with yet more fake spending).

In Australia, where officially we didn’t even have a recession, the government even gave everyone AUS$900 to spend. That was nice of them. Lots of easy liquidity, sloshing around making everyone feel great. It’s as if we’re all addicted to the drug called credit and can’t stop spending what we don’t actually have.

And for the past year (in accordance with what Mr Turner rather chillingly called the “nuclear option”), since dropping interest rates and bailing out the banks didn’t work, the government has pulled it’s one and only remaining lever to try and get us all through this before the elections – they are printing money like there is no tomorrow. Flooding money markets with phoney money to keep the whole house of cards propped up.

It just doesn’t add up. The credit bubble we’re trapped in is huge, almost too huge to believe and sooner or later is got to pop. The party has to end, and the mother of all hangovers will be hot on its heels.

The economic hangover we have suffered thus far really doesn’t match the size of party we’ve all had for the ten years prior.

Three Party Poopers for 2010

In spite of these unresolved ‘issues’, commentators are beginning to talk up the economy. The stock market has rebounded strongly, sterling’s slip seems to have stabilised and house prices have even risen in the last couple of months.

For this lay observer things aren’t over yet though. And these are three of the things that I’m concerned about.

1. People who have jobs are going to see a reduction in the value of their money.

One result of all this “new” money being printed is that the value of our currency is being eroded. That is, each pound is worth a little less than it was before.
Our earnings have shrunk as a nation (recession), but there’s more actual money swilling about in the system.

And when inflation gets going (oil prices, food prices, etc) we’ll see these effects exacerbated in higher prices for everyday things. Without the attendant wage increases to compensate (who’s giving out pay rises right now?), confidence will take a hit. People will have less money and spending on luxury items – including pets – will be at risk.

2. Lots of people are hanging on to their homes by their fingertips. Low UK interest rates are keeping debt payment artificially low. This is allowing millions of UK borrowers the opportunity to stay afloat. It won’t last forever. When the government removes it’s support for banks later this year and/or inflation begins to creep into the system interest rates will climb. Defaults on mortgages will rise and things could get messy. Again less money for spending.

3. Unemployment is still rising. We’re almost up to 2.5 million or 7.9% of the workforce and although for now that figure is seemingly slowing down, it won’t take much for it to start climbing faster again.

Am I wrong? I’d love to be. Things are very, very finely balanced. Anecdotally, for now at least, people seem happier to give up a holiday abroad or a nice meal out, rather than not have their pet treated. But if things get really nasty can we rely upon that forever? I doubt it. Look for rising numbers of pets in shelters.

The next 12 months will be amongst the most interesting and potentially exciting in recent history. How our profession fares will come down a lot to how we manage our businesses. We cannot control the wider environment but we can position our businesses to weather the storm.

Dave’s Resolutions for the New Year

• Run a tight ship – control your costs and capture your missing charges
• Be the best at something – what makes you different?
• Communicate why you’re the best – make the money you spend on marketing really count.
• Look for opportunities – as always there will be winners and losers. If you’re looking to get bigger then my guess is that there will be bargains to be had in the next 12 months.
• Don’t believe the hype – use your head! This is election year, politicians on all sides will tell us anything.

At the risk of sounding like Ricky Fulton’s glum character The Rev. I.M. Jolly, Happy New Year and good luck in 2010.

Will Economic Meltdown Thaw Passions for a Vet Union?

Friday, May 15th, 2009

So the calls for a vet union seem to have peaked (the Vet Times have even published some letters in defense of our profession!) and the incandescent Dr. Mirs has pretty much squeezed the vet PR machine for all it is worth. What now for the proposed Vet Union?

As always actions speak louder than words and the next step required is for someone to step up and actually bring this proposition from rhetoric to reality. To begin to assemble a team and organisational framework that will actually deliver real change for those it represents. In short, beating the drum was the easy bit. Firing up the disgruntled ‘masses’ (actually I think there are perhaps many like me who have had entirely good experiences in vet practice and still love their jobs) was the easy bit. The business end, getting a Union going will be the true test of Dr. Mirs and his beliefs.

I have written before that I think the Union is a non-starter that will not achieve the desired goals. I suggest now another three reasons why my opinion in this regard is stronger now than ever.

Firstly though, before I get blasted for not caring about assistants, let me just for the record point out my position. I am a free lance veterinary consultant. I work with business owners to plan their businesses out, but I achieve change through the close training, mentoring and support of the vets and nurses within those teams.

I also continue to work (and love it) as a first opinion vet so I think I have a reasonably balanced viewpoint.

OK so with my cards on the table why do I think that a vet union will struggle?

1. Dr. Mirs Leadership – I could be wrong but I suggest if the Union gets going it is not spear-headed by Dr. Mirs. He has unquestionably been highly effective in raising the issue to the top of the veterinary agenda, but his articles (full of inconsistency and inaccuracy) have belied his fundamental misunderstanding of veterinary economics. Further, I get the impression he may be is fuelled by a past wrong of which I have no knowledge. Only having one side of any story makes me nervous. It should make you nervous too. Dr. Mirs should clarify the full picture so we can all understand his motivations more clearly.

2. The Apathetic Middle Ground – Many comments have been published in support but I think Dr. Mirs is polarising the debate and we are only ever likely to hear from the outraged outliers in such a situation. My guess is that in common with myself, many vets are happy in their employment and if they have a problem with an employer can either talk it through to resolve the issue locally, or move roles without trouble. Hence why will they fork out more money for union membership?

3. The Economy – A very interesting quarterly employee satisfaction report just published by the Chartered Institute for Personnel and Development (CIPD) reveals that job satisfaction in recent months has soared. (A result perhaps more likely to indicate that with some practices making redundancies this week, the “grass is greener on the other side” effect may well have given way to a prevailing “the grass is well and truly scorched – so I’ll sit tight here”. Whatever, it seems more likely that this will reduce any membership uptake than provide a positive recruitment driver.

I have sympathy with those who have had a poor veterinary experience. It is tragic and unacceptable that vets should spend a childhood working hard to achieve a life ambition only to have that dream destroyed by poor management. But in many cases, by not coming to terms with the economic realities of veterinary practice, assistants do the damage to themselves.

A poorly funded and supported Union won’t change that. I watch with interest to see what brave individual takes this idea forward and hope they have the vision to see all sides of the debate and hence have any hope of implementing positive change.